Posts Tagged ‘Group C’

WORLD CUP ANALYSIS: GROUP C

Monday, June 7th, 2010

by Philip Cramer

Group C: USA, England, Slovenia, Algeria.

Sixty years ago England played the U.S. in the World Cup in Brazil. American soccer at the time barely had a pulse, while England was considered the best in the world, matched only by the host nation. We all know what happened then; the U.S. shocked the world winning 1-0. When news first filtered back to England everyone assumed it was a misprint and that England had won 10-1.

They meet again in the opening game of the group. If the U.S. beat England this time it will still be considered an upset, but nothing compared to the epic of 1950.

Either way, England and the U.S. are clear favorites to advance with the luck of the draw putting two soft opponents, Algeria and Slovenia in their group.

Despite the loss of Rio Ferdinand, England is the class of this group despite some weaknesses. David James, the first string goalie is nicknamed ‘Calamity James’ for good reason. Ashley Cole and John Terry will hold the defense together. Beyond them, Glen Johnson and Ledley King are more than adequate but could find problems in later rounds. In midfield only Gareth Barry has strong defensive credentials but it is moving forward that they are strongest with Lampard, Gerrard and Joe Cole capable of dominating any team. In reserve they have Aaron Lennon and James Milner who can more than hold their own. Up front, Rooney has matured into one of the best in the world. He works hard, is happy to fall back to help and can create goals out of nothing. Jermain Defoe will, in all likelihood partner him up front but I am still mystified as to why Capello excluded Theo Walcott who has incredible speed and is a gamechanger as we saw when he brought Arsenal back from the brink against Barcelona in the Champion’s League. I’ve always considered Peter Crouch to be out of his depth against the best in the world and Darren Bent might have been a better choice than the old warhorse Emile Heskey,

Capello has brought about renewed confidence, and while England will sail through the group they will do their usual swoon in the later rounds. The cooler weather will suit their frenetic style of play.

The U.S. should advance no matter what happens in the England game. They have an excellent goalkeeping squad who all play in the Premier League and as a group are better than the English trio. Their backline is a little sketchy with Onyewu the only standout at this level. Jonathan Spector is suspect while DeMerit, Cherundolo and the others will have their work cut out in keeping Rooney quiet. At midfield Landon Donovan is world class while Clint Dempsey has considerable experience in the Premier League. Michael Bradley has shown maturity beyond his years and his strength and tenacity will prove useful in helping out the defense. Francisco Torres will contribute for years to come and DaMarcus Beasly has the experience if not the recent form.

Up front Altidore has immense talent but will be tested at this level. Edson Buddle has been stellar for the Galaxy this year and scored twice against Australia over the weekend. He too, will be called on to play at a higher level than ever before.

As a team, fitness, strength and discipline are assets and coach Bob Bradley has proved he is more than capable. They will need to be at their best and might need a bit of luck but beating or drawing with England will not be much of a surprise.

Algeria has a tough road ahead of them. One of their best defenders, Nadir Belhadj is suspended for the opening game. The goalkeeper who led them to victory over Egypt, Faouzi Chaouchi is suspended for the first two games. Mourad Meghni, a gifted midfielder, nicknamed Le Petit Zidane is out of the WC with a knee injury and Majid Bougherra, a defender who plays for Scottish champion, Glasgow Rangers, is struggling to get fit in time. Many of their players play in Europe but for lesser teams, and while that experience might help them they will be lucky to get a point out of their encounters with either England or the U.S.

Spare a thought for Algeria who were cheated out of advancing in 1982. They opened with a shock 2-1 win against West Germany and beat Chile 3-2 in the third game in the group. The last game matched West Germany and Austria and the only scenario that would keep Algeria from advancing was a 1-0 German win by one or two goals. West Germany attacked and 10 minutes into the game scored and that was the end of the contest as the two German speaking teams passed the ball around with no attempts to score for the next 80 minutes. Angry Algerian fans waved banknotes and even the German fans booed. The game resulted in FIFA changing the format so that the final group games are played simultaneously to prevent any possibility of collusion. Algeria has never made it past the first round.

Slovenia, the country with the smallest population of any of the finalists finished second in their group thanks to a stingy defense that gave up just four goals in ten games. The surprising failure of the far higher ranked Czech team allowed them to finish second to meet Russia in a two leg playoff. Russia took a 2-0 lead at home as expected but Slovenia pulled one back in the last minute. In the return leg, Slovenia held on for a 1-0 win and qualified on the away goals rule while accusations that the Russian team partied too much dogged their collapse, despite having Guus Huddink as coach.

Arguably the best known is Cologne striker Milivoje Novakovic, who scored five times during qualifying and, at 30, is approaching the peak of his powers. The Ljubljana-born striker describes himself as making up one third of Slovenia’s “backbone”, with goalkeeper Samir Handanovic and captain Robert Koren, a talented attacking midfielder are the standouts. Their dogged determination should keep them in contention but they too, will be lucky to get a point against England and the U.S.

Fearless forecast:

1 England
2 United States

Read more from ONELOVE Ambassador Philip Cramer at Irritable Liberal Syndrome.

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WORLD CUP ANALYSIS: GROUP A

Monday, June 7th, 2010

by Philip Cramer

Group A: South Africa, Mexico, Uruguay, France.

One of the most interesting and wide open groups. Any of the 4 teams can finish either first or last. Yes, I know most are giving South Africa little hope to advance and I am more than a tad biased but this isn’t the same team that endured a prolonged slump and failed to even qualify for the African Cup of Nations.

Carlos Alberto Parreira (Brazil ’94 coach) was brought in and since then Bafana has gone undefeated in 12 games, albeit mostly against weaker opponents. Home support will obviously be a huge factor despite limited success in their two previous appearances. Consider South Korea who had no wins in 14 prior games before they made it to the semi-finals as hosts in 2002.

Bafana has a solid defense although it is mistake-prone at times. Their strength is in the midfield where they match with up with any of their opponents. Their biggest problem is up front where they always struggle to score against quality teams. A big plus for South Africa is that the local season was shortened by two months to allow for extended training camps. They are well rested and Parreira is fanatical about fitness which will help in the later stages of their games.

Mexico were in the same bad shape as Bafana when they fired the overrated Sven Goren Eriksson halfway through qualifying. It looked as though they wouldn’t qualify, something that is normally automatic for them in the weak CONCACAF region. Javier Aguirre worked the same magic he did in 2002 in Korea, guiding ‘El Tri’ to qualifying comfortably. The team has a good mix of veterans and youth and the Dos Santos brothers controversy seems to have died down. The altitude will not be a problem for them. They’ve looked lively in their lead-in games and beat a lackluster Italy earlier this week.

They have excellent speed up front with Carlos Vela and Javier Hernandez and solid midfield support from Andres Guardado and Giovanni dos Santos, making for arguably the best attack in this group. In the back a lot will depend on Rafael Marquez who hasn’t seen much playing time with Barcelona this year. Their opening game against South Africa will answer a lot of questions. Mexico are a little more polished than Bafana, especially up front, but home support should negate that. It might come down to a bit of luck for either team in the opener.

Uruguay’s strength is up front where Diego Forlan and Luis Suarez are formidable. Forlan won the scoring title in Spain this past season and can be a gamebreaker. Suarez has all the tools and can both create and score goals. Close them down and it becomes a lot harder for Uruguay. As you work your way back back from the front Uruguay’s weaknesses become more apparent. Goalkeeping has been dodgy although Walter Gargano, who plays for Napoli, stands out in defence. Martin Caceres has become a regular on the Juventus squad, but considering their lame performance this season, that might not be much of a recommendation. Nonetheless, there is little depth beyond those two.

Since winning the cup for the second time in 1950 they Uruguay hasn’t done much other than a semi-final appearance in 1970

Zidane was France’s talisman. Consider the record. With Zidane they won in ’98, won Euro 2000 and if not for a moment of sheer insanity might have won in Germany. With Zidane injured they crashed out in ’02 without scoring a goal and didn’t make it out of the group in Euro ’06, although they did manage to score. They only made it to South Africa when Thierry Henry utilized his volleyball skills against Ireland.

If there is justice in soccer, France ought to be sent home early, but sadly there is little. Their warm up games include a 2-1 win against Costa Rica, a draw with Tunisia, and a 1-0 loss to China. There is a measure of gloom in their camp and with a number of their players rapidly approaching their ‘use by date,’ more problems are likely to surface. Then again, they have the talent with Ribery, Gourcuff, their rising midfield star, Malouda and a trio of Arsenal defenders and they could just as easily win the group.

France’s first game against Uruguay might be their easiest as long as they can contain Forlan and Suarez. Ribery, Gourcuff and Malouda are all coming off excellent seasons and should stretch the Uruguayan defense beyond its capabilities. The game is at sea level but their next games are at altitude against the two teams that are comfortable in the thinner air.

A couple of the more fancied teams will crash out in the first round and France is a prime candidate.

My fearless forecast:
1 – South Africa 2 – Mexico
(It’s the week before the kickoff when hope springs eternal for all fans and I have to go with my heart)

Check out more from ONELOVE Ambassador Philip Cramer at Irritable Liberal Syndrome.

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